Carly Smithson is going home tonight.

I can’t say that I am surprised to see Carly Smithson go home from American Idol because she never really made a connection with me. Carly made it into the Top 6, so she should be proud of making it so far in American Idol’s 7th season.

I am happy to see Syesha Mercado and Brooke White stay another week.

The top dogs of American Idol going into the Top 5:

1. David Cook

2. David Archuleta

3. Jason Castro

4. Syesha Mercado

5. Brooke White

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I’m not going to write up a huge liveblog of tonight’s American Idol like I usually do. I will say that I enjoyed seeing Syesha Mercado on the AI stage tonight. She was looking pretty good and was singing well. However, overall Syesha faces overwhelming odds with the popularity of David Cook and David Archuleta this year.

Could Brooke White be going home tomorrow?

I like Brooke White — there’s something about her — be she won’t make it through to be the Idol this year. With her mistake, Brooke White will probably be thrown off the island.

I’ve never gotten into Jason Castro or Carly Smithson.

I can’t really get into Jason Castro — he seems like a nice guy — but that’s not enough to be the American Idol. And, I’ve never seen what others have seen in Carly Smithson — she has never made a connection with me. But, tonight’s performance will keep Carly Smithson safe for another week.

The real battle is between David Archuleta and David Cook.

The real battle for the number one position is between David Archuleta and David Cook in season 7 of American Idol.

The more I think about it, the more I think that David Cook will end up with the number one rank this year.

David Archuleta is good, but David Cook is older and is probably more marketable to a wider audience. But, don’t underestimate the power of David Archuleta’s many fans to dial and dial and dial for their favorite idol choice.

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Here are Dial Idol’s Predictions for the Top 7 on last night’s American Idol.

Safe:

David Cook
David Archuleta
Jason Castro
Kristy Lee Cook

At Risk of Going Home:

Carly Smithson
Brooke White
Syesha Mercado

I wouldn’t disagree with those predictions, but just as last week’s departure of Michael Johns shows us, sometimes American Idol fans can never predict what might happen.

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David Archuleta takes the first slot on tonight’s American Idol competition featuring Mariah Carey’s “When You Believe.”

Randy says David Archuleta can sing anything. Paula praises David Archuleta saying that he made Mariah proud. Simon weighs in saying that David Archuleta has set a benchmark for the singing competition.

Carly Smithson is up next with Mariah Carey’s “Without You.”

Randy says that he likes that Carly Smithson challenged herself with the song. Randy says Carly needs to believe in herself when she sings the lower notes. Paula likes that Carly showed some vocal restraint. Simon says he wanted to hear Carly Smithson sing to song, but he doesn’t think that she pulled it off.

Cutie Syesha Mercado takes to the stage to sing Mariah Carey’s “Vanishing.”

Randy says Syesha Mercado did a good job singing. Paula praises Syesha saying it was magical. Simon says technically it was good but that song choice may be a factor because people don’t know the song.

Brooke White sings Mariah Carey’s “Hero.” I always like Brooke, but I don’t see her as this year’s winner.

Randy says he was digging the song until the bridge. Paula calls Brooke White authentic. Simon says the vital ingredient was missing.

Kristy Lee Cook sings Mariah Carey’s “Forever.” Kristy Lee Cook is looking very pretty as well. I’m not sure that she’ll be the American Idol, however. Will AI want another country singer this year?

Randy says he didn’t think it was amazing, but Kristy Lee Cook stepped up at the end. Paula says Kristy Lee is a smart woman. She’s blown away by Kristy Lee Cook and says Kristy Lee could have a hit with the song. Simon says Kristy Lee Cook didn’t give him chills, but says she was smart. Simon says the song just wasn’t great.

David Cook is up next with “Always Be My Baby.” Mariah Carey says she was surprised he’d chose the song. She says the way David Cook sings it sounds haunting.

David Cook could easily be the next American Idol.

Randy says David Cook is ready to make an album and calls his performance brilliant. Paula says David Cook’s version could be in a movie soundtrack. Simon says it was like coming out of karaoke hell and into a breath of fresh air — it was original, daring and stood out by a mile.

Jason Castro has to feel lucky wrapping up tonight’s American Idol with Mariah Carey’s “I Don’t Want To Cry.”

Going right after David Cook could prove to be very tough. Jason Castro’s not bringing the brilliance to his song that David Cook did with his. But, the crowd is giving him a good ovation.

Randy says he didn’t really love it — it was like a weird beach luau and someone was playing music far away. Paula wants to be at that luau with Jason Castro singing, however. Simon says that he agrees with Paula — it was a cool version.

Simon says that the guys completely won the night.

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